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Posts Tagged ‘BASEBALL


Washington at Toronto

A very weird game this is, and not only because it is interLeague play. Toronto go with Brandon Morrow on the mount and he leads the majors in 3 shutouts and he held the WhiteSox to only two hits last time out. He won 7 out of his last 9 games and his ERA in those wins is 0.52… Washington never have been a scoring outfit and Toronto finally got their bats in order.
Toronto -1,5 is a play, but it could be worth playing Washington to score UNDER 3,5 runs as well. At nearly even money that looks like a perfect banker.

Boston Redsox at Miami Marlins

A very tough game to call as Boston seems to be getting back in the groove, but they lost a few games recently again against Baltimore. This could be a chance for Josh Beckett to show what he is worth still as he goes up against the Miami ace in Johnson. He has been really good too and predicting the winner seems hard, but going for Miami to score OVER 3,5 runs looks like a great bet again at close or just over EVS.

Yankees at Atlanta.

Again an interleague game which looks like a great matchup. Ivan Nova has been tremendous this season (and last year too) and he is great in getting the best out of his team mates. Everytime he gets on the mount the Yankees hit for fun and they might need to against Delgado who pitches stellar too for the Braves. The Braves do struggle to score a lot of runs and Yankees -2,5 runs at 2/1 is a nice gambling price, and if you want to stay in the sphere of predicting amount of runs the OVER 5,5 for the Yankees at 8,5 is a good bet again.

LA Angels at LA Dodgers

A great rivalry coming up here and you can only go for the Angels here who have a tremendous record lately. Not only have they gone 19-12in their last 31 games, but they also have been UNBEATEN away from home in their last 9 or so and they score 6 or more runs in all of their last 6 games. Albert Pujols is finally showing why he was worth his 200Million package or so by hitting .357 in the last 3 weeks. Richards is the replacement for Jered Weaver and hs only start he only gave up 1 run in 7 innings. Capuano got hit for a lot of homers in his last start (3 in one game) and this could be ALL LA Angels. Take them OVER 4,5 Runs at 8/5 for the BANKER of the day


Here is the baseball for today:
 
Miami at Phillies:
 
The Marlins are a very good team with new manager Guillen, but they come up against the Phillies here who are looking to give Cole Hamels his NINTH win of the season… he would be the first to do so and the Phillies are a proud teams o they will go for this big time. They will also cement their place in the division race with a win against Miami and last night I was happy with the 19/10 and I think todays game will be even more clear cut. Therefore its only 27/20 for the Phillies –1,5 but its enough for me.
 
Baltimore at Tampa Bay:
 
Ouch.. Baltimore have now lost 6 in a row and they were dreadful last night in a 5-0 loss. Today Tampa can prove they can actually hit the ball again as they hardly scored runs in their last 5 games. The pitching matchup is 100% in favor of the Rays and I can see them getting out of their own personal slump and ALTERNATVE handicap market is an attractive way to go here with the Tampa Bay Rays –3,5 at 11-4
 
Seattle at Chicago:
 
Chicago Whitesox are looking for an impressive 10 wins in a row and the Seattle Mariners are not going to stand in their way. This will be a win for the WhiteSox, but by how much?? The whitesox pitcher has been excellent against the mariners in his time and Seattle does not help their pitcher by scoring runs so the way in might be to go for the Seattle Mariners TOTAL runs to be UNDER 2,5 at 8/5.. That seems to be wayyyy too high, as I see it as an even money shot.
 

Cincinnati Reds at New York Yankees

A very nice matchup today with two star pitchers coming off a loss. CC Sabathia goes for the Yankees and he must be expected to pick up his 6th win of the season. He only went 6 innings last time, but he goes 8 in all his other games. Cueto has lost his last start too, but he is definitely up against a powerful Yankees lineup even WITHOUT Mark Texeira who sits out again.
5/4 on Yankees -1,5 for us today.

Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers

This game smells like a lot of runs. Scherzer is a good pitcher for Detroit, but he struggled last time out. Pittsburgh is great lately in hitting the ball and Detroit always has the power. Correia pitches for the Pirates and he has been bad in nearly all his starts. Count on a lot of runs, with most coming for Detroit. Detroit -1,5 at 6/5 and OVER 8,5 total runs at 20/21 is a good bet.

Texas Rangers at Houston Astros

A nice game to get involved in as Texas lefty Colby Lewis has had a very bad May so far. This means there will be some value on the Astros and their pitcher Lyles. Lyles has not been that good against the Rangers last year, but he has been ok so far this year. Houston NEVER gives up and they always finish close in games so taking the +1,5 at 10/11 is the BANKER OF THE DAY


Yankees at Orioles:

 A great matchup which might come as a surprise to many as the Baltimore Orioles sit atop of the rankings. Iva Nova goes for the Yankees and he has been amazing for the last 10months or so. He only lost ONE decision in this time frame going 15 without a loss. He lost two outings ago, but bounced right back the next time out. Jason Hammel is the best pitcher for the Orioles so far this season, but he skipped his start on Thursday because of a knee injury. The Yankees pile on the runs when Nova is on the mount and Hammel needs to show he is 100% fit. Yankees are 10/11 for the outright win and that is the pick with a small bet on the 7/5 for Yankees -1,5.  I stay away from the over/under in this one, because of the possibility of a 3-0 win or 3-1 game.

Seattle at Boston: 

Seattle started of pretty good for a team that has almost solely played away from home. They have, though, lost 8 out of 9 away from home in their last 9 even though they beat the Yankees last night.  Boston is on a run of 3 wins and they have finally strung some good results together. Still this seems like a very volatile game so let´s go for the OVER 9 runs at 20/21 in this one, as Lester has had some miserable starts as well this year, but the Redsox can score plenty of runs of ANY pitcher and Vargas is no world beater in any way.

Cincinnati at Atlanta:

 The Braves are absolutely roaring like a lion at the moment scoring runs for fun in every AWAY game they played in the last week(s). They go up against the perennial chasers in the Reds and it could very well end up being a small massacre again. Homer Bailey goes for the Reds and he gave up a shitload of runs already in his starts this season. The question if you want to go for the over/under is if the Reds can score run, which they have not done all season, so we stay away from that bet, but Atlanta 1,5 at 6/4 is massive and irresistible. Risk takers and people betting for fun can go for the Braves -3,5 at odds of around 4/1 (prizes not available at time of posting)


Texas Rangers at Baltimore Orioles:
In years gone by this would be an easy win for Texas, but this season the Orioles have been impressive to say the least. Harrison goes for Texas and he started his first 3 starts strong, but gave up 14 runs in his last 8 innings. Matusz for the Orioles started of rubbish (as usual?) but in his last 12 innings he allowed only 1 run. The bookies have not really caught on yet, so GET ON Baltimore to WIN only at a massive 23/20. Have some fun and hope for a stats outcome and go for Baltimore -1,5 at 17/10.

Detroit Tigers at Seattle Mariners:
As with the above game this used to be a simple Detroit win, but this year the Mariners have improved themselves. They even managed to Beat Detroit in THREE games in Detroit earlier in the year and they are definitely a player in this game. Detroit goes with Doug Fister who came from… yes indeed, Seattle last season. He is just of the disabled List, so he could be a bit rusty, which gives Seattle a real chanc here. Again we can get 23/20 for the win here, so TAKE IT

Colorado Rockies at San Diego Padres
This could very well turn into a snooze fest. Both teams have problems scoring runs and both pitchers are good in going 6 innings without giving up too many runs. The under/over is only 6,5 but still it seems worth taking on with the UNDER 6,5 at 5/6. This is hoping Pomeranz (Rockies) and Volquez (Padres) will be able to go 7 innings each. San Diego have a problem in the back end of the rotation and that means that you can trade out in the 7th or 8th inning. So if there are 3 or 4 runs or so in the top of the 7th inning go OVER on the runs and a nice profit should be nearly guaranteed.


It was another profitable day for followers on the blog or via InPlayRadio from William Hill with even a 7/2 shot coming in. Let´s see if we can get a treble up today with an interesting side bet as well.

Boston at Minnesota: It is an understatement to say that the Boston Redsox are struggling. Their record speaks for itself and the bullpen in particular has been a shambles. That funk was partly broken yesterday, but still it looks like they are there for the taking. Blackburn pitches for the Twins and he has been great against Boston over the years and Beckett will need to do it for the RedSox and he has been doubtful as of late. A really bad start was followed by two ok starts, but I can see a win here for the Twins and at an AMAZING 7/5 for a flat out win this is too good to miss up. Especially if Minnesota can get Beckett out early and get to the bullpen they have plenty of chances to get the win.

Toronto at Baltimore: This is an interesting game with two pitchers going up against each other that have been DREADFUL in their last start giving up a ton of runs EACH in their last start. The percentage play is probably to presume Toronto will come out on top again (as we predicted yesterday as well) at 5/6, but for the same money we can also get the OVER 9 runs in the game and that seems like a safer play. This is really a toss up which of the two you take for the treble and both should come in.

San Francisco at Cincinatti: A brilliant pitcher goes up against a traded pitcher that can not win a game right now. Yes. Matt Cain is absolutely brilliant this year so far and that should continue here. Latos goes for the Reds and he has not won a game yet and has an ERA of over 8 so far. With the Giants you normally would say that it would nt matter as they never scored runs, but this year they definitely have found their bats, so the Giants should win this game easily and 8/5 on them winning by 1,5 runs or more is a steal. Lump on!

BONUS BET: It is always fun to look for a fun and high payout bet to cover all your other bets and interests. This lovely sunny Tuesday we go to a different game for a nice specialty bet. As you know we hit the bonus bet yesterday at 7/2 and let us look at what we can do today.

We go to the Marlins and Mets game where Jose Reyes will come up AGAINST the Mets for the first time in his career. Over 9 years he was in a Mets uniform and now he will try to hit a few balls out of the park for the Marlins. A very risky, but hopefully 9 innings lasting fun bet is the SHUTOUT bet on Johan Santana. The Mets pitcher has a phenomenal statistic against the Marlins and NO homerun has been hit by ANY Marlins player against him. It is 5/1 for the Mets not to concede a run in 9 regulation innings and it could well be a really good price come the 8th inning.


the baseball kicks off FOR REAL tonight and the first game of the regular season (in america) is the St Louis Cardinals against the Miami Marlins.. Yes… indeed, its now the MIAMI Marlins and not the Florida Marlins anymore.
Apart of a new $200million stadium they have also splashed the cash on a lot fo new players AND Ozzie Guillen as a coach from the White Sox…
The Cardinals are without their long term manager (Tony La Russa decided to retire after winning it all) and they need to deal without magnificient hitter Albert Pujols who decided to take the $100 million extra or so he could get in LA wit the Angels.

This is the first official game in the Marlins new Stadium and both teams have a real chance of getting back into the playoffs.
The changes will work out well for miami this year and I have to see them winning this game. There is no value in the 5/9 to win the game but 6/5 for the Marlins –1,5 is value.
there should also be lots runs scored tonight and I can see the line move out a bit form the current 7,0 runs. BOTH pitchers have NO problems giving up plenty of runs and I can see 11 or 12 runs in this game even though its opening day which is generally pretty tight. Over 7.0 at 10/11 is the play here.

As mentioned ST Louis is able to score runs even without Pujols and OVER 3,5 runs is worth a small bet at 27/20.

The first scoring play could happen in the home half of the second inning so take the 13/2 on that outcome.

good luck everyone



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