Archive for April 2012

It was another profitable day for followers on the blog or via InPlayRadio from William Hill with even a 7/2 shot coming in. Let´s see if we can get a treble up today with an interesting side bet as well.

Boston at Minnesota: It is an understatement to say that the Boston Redsox are struggling. Their record speaks for itself and the bullpen in particular has been a shambles. That funk was partly broken yesterday, but still it looks like they are there for the taking. Blackburn pitches for the Twins and he has been great against Boston over the years and Beckett will need to do it for the RedSox and he has been doubtful as of late. A really bad start was followed by two ok starts, but I can see a win here for the Twins and at an AMAZING 7/5 for a flat out win this is too good to miss up. Especially if Minnesota can get Beckett out early and get to the bullpen they have plenty of chances to get the win.

Toronto at Baltimore: This is an interesting game with two pitchers going up against each other that have been DREADFUL in their last start giving up a ton of runs EACH in their last start. The percentage play is probably to presume Toronto will come out on top again (as we predicted yesterday as well) at 5/6, but for the same money we can also get the OVER 9 runs in the game and that seems like a safer play. This is really a toss up which of the two you take for the treble and both should come in.

San Francisco at Cincinatti: A brilliant pitcher goes up against a traded pitcher that can not win a game right now. Yes. Matt Cain is absolutely brilliant this year so far and that should continue here. Latos goes for the Reds and he has not won a game yet and has an ERA of over 8 so far. With the Giants you normally would say that it would nt matter as they never scored runs, but this year they definitely have found their bats, so the Giants should win this game easily and 8/5 on them winning by 1,5 runs or more is a steal. Lump on!

BONUS BET: It is always fun to look for a fun and high payout bet to cover all your other bets and interests. This lovely sunny Tuesday we go to a different game for a nice specialty bet. As you know we hit the bonus bet yesterday at 7/2 and let us look at what we can do today.

We go to the Marlins and Mets game where Jose Reyes will come up AGAINST the Mets for the first time in his career. Over 9 years he was in a Mets uniform and now he will try to hit a few balls out of the park for the Marlins. A very risky, but hopefully 9 innings lasting fun bet is the SHUTOUT bet on Johan Santana. The Mets pitcher has a phenomenal statistic against the Marlins and NO homerun has been hit by ANY Marlins player against him. It is 5/1 for the Mets not to concede a run in 9 regulation innings and it could well be a really good price come the 8th inning.


Been a good week for listeners to IPlay radio with 6 out of 6 winners.. For the followers of InPlayRadio is here the complete email send to InPlayradio today:


Toronto at Kansas City. A nasty April might not end soon enough for the KC Royals as they are trying NOT to lose 10 games at home in a row. They have yet to win at home this season and against Brendan Morrow and the Toronto Blue Jays it could be more of the same tonight.  Over the last 3 days they lost to the BJ´s by only 4 runs in total, so they know how to stay in the game, but if Morrow is anywhere near as good as his first two starts this season he will be outpitching Chan from the KC Royals and 10/11 for a Toronto win is too good to pass up.


Phillies at Arizona DBacks: Both teams are hampered by injuries, but it looks like the DBacks have the worst of it, as Phillies will go with an excellent “backup” pitcher in Kyle Kendrick who had a good record last year and has been good from the bullpen this year. Wade Miley will try to win for the DBacks, but he is a relieve pitcher and even if he pitches god, the fact that he is out of the bullpen will make it harder for the DBacks to win the coming few games. Phillies have still got a lot of fire power and count on a win here at EVS which is too good to let go for a World Series contender. For a fun, but quick bet, go to SCORES market and go for the first scoring play to be the BOTTOM of the first as the Dbacks score 11 out of 16 times in the first inning. Available at 7/2 with William Hill.

Houston at Milwaukee:  Zack Greinke goes to the mount for the Brewers and when he does that at home, you can bank on a home win. He has won his last 12 starts at home and the team is even 17-0 with him starting. Houston has just won a game 12-0 which was the first time since 2007 that they won by this margin, so they are feeling “hot” but Greinke´s form combined with Lucas Harrell his form for the Astros makes this a home banker -1,5 runs at EVS.

the baseball kicks off FOR REAL tonight and the first game of the regular season (in america) is the St Louis Cardinals against the Miami Marlins.. Yes… indeed, its now the MIAMI Marlins and not the Florida Marlins anymore.
Apart of a new $200million stadium they have also splashed the cash on a lot fo new players AND Ozzie Guillen as a coach from the White Sox…
The Cardinals are without their long term manager (Tony La Russa decided to retire after winning it all) and they need to deal without magnificient hitter Albert Pujols who decided to take the $100 million extra or so he could get in LA wit the Angels.

This is the first official game in the Marlins new Stadium and both teams have a real chance of getting back into the playoffs.
The changes will work out well for miami this year and I have to see them winning this game. There is no value in the 5/9 to win the game but 6/5 for the Marlins –1,5 is value.
there should also be lots runs scored tonight and I can see the line move out a bit form the current 7,0 runs. BOTH pitchers have NO problems giving up plenty of runs and I can see 11 or 12 runs in this game even though its opening day which is generally pretty tight. Over 7.0 at 10/11 is the play here.

As mentioned ST Louis is able to score runs even without Pujols and OVER 3,5 runs is worth a small bet at 27/20.

The first scoring play could happen in the home half of the second inning so take the 13/2 on that outcome.

good luck everyone


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