Archive for May 2012

Cincinnati Reds at New York Yankees

A very nice matchup today with two star pitchers coming off a loss. CC Sabathia goes for the Yankees and he must be expected to pick up his 6th win of the season. He only went 6 innings last time, but he goes 8 in all his other games. Cueto has lost his last start too, but he is definitely up against a powerful Yankees lineup even WITHOUT Mark Texeira who sits out again.
5/4 on Yankees -1,5 for us today.

Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers

This game smells like a lot of runs. Scherzer is a good pitcher for Detroit, but he struggled last time out. Pittsburgh is great lately in hitting the ball and Detroit always has the power. Correia pitches for the Pirates and he has been bad in nearly all his starts. Count on a lot of runs, with most coming for Detroit. Detroit -1,5 at 6/5 and OVER 8,5 total runs at 20/21 is a good bet.

Texas Rangers at Houston Astros

A nice game to get involved in as Texas lefty Colby Lewis has had a very bad May so far. This means there will be some value on the Astros and their pitcher Lyles. Lyles has not been that good against the Rangers last year, but he has been ok so far this year. Houston NEVER gives up and they always finish close in games so taking the +1,5 at 10/11 is the BANKER OF THE DAY


Yankees at Orioles:

 A great matchup which might come as a surprise to many as the Baltimore Orioles sit atop of the rankings. Iva Nova goes for the Yankees and he has been amazing for the last 10months or so. He only lost ONE decision in this time frame going 15 without a loss. He lost two outings ago, but bounced right back the next time out. Jason Hammel is the best pitcher for the Orioles so far this season, but he skipped his start on Thursday because of a knee injury. The Yankees pile on the runs when Nova is on the mount and Hammel needs to show he is 100% fit. Yankees are 10/11 for the outright win and that is the pick with a small bet on the 7/5 for Yankees -1,5.  I stay away from the over/under in this one, because of the possibility of a 3-0 win or 3-1 game.

Seattle at Boston: 

Seattle started of pretty good for a team that has almost solely played away from home. They have, though, lost 8 out of 9 away from home in their last 9 even though they beat the Yankees last night.  Boston is on a run of 3 wins and they have finally strung some good results together. Still this seems like a very volatile game so let´s go for the OVER 9 runs at 20/21 in this one, as Lester has had some miserable starts as well this year, but the Redsox can score plenty of runs of ANY pitcher and Vargas is no world beater in any way.

Cincinnati at Atlanta:

 The Braves are absolutely roaring like a lion at the moment scoring runs for fun in every AWAY game they played in the last week(s). They go up against the perennial chasers in the Reds and it could very well end up being a small massacre again. Homer Bailey goes for the Reds and he gave up a shitload of runs already in his starts this season. The question if you want to go for the over/under is if the Reds can score run, which they have not done all season, so we stay away from that bet, but Atlanta 1,5 at 6/4 is massive and irresistible. Risk takers and people betting for fun can go for the Braves -3,5 at odds of around 4/1 (prizes not available at time of posting)

Texas Rangers at Baltimore Orioles:
In years gone by this would be an easy win for Texas, but this season the Orioles have been impressive to say the least. Harrison goes for Texas and he started his first 3 starts strong, but gave up 14 runs in his last 8 innings. Matusz for the Orioles started of rubbish (as usual?) but in his last 12 innings he allowed only 1 run. The bookies have not really caught on yet, so GET ON Baltimore to WIN only at a massive 23/20. Have some fun and hope for a stats outcome and go for Baltimore -1,5 at 17/10.

Detroit Tigers at Seattle Mariners:
As with the above game this used to be a simple Detroit win, but this year the Mariners have improved themselves. They even managed to Beat Detroit in THREE games in Detroit earlier in the year and they are definitely a player in this game. Detroit goes with Doug Fister who came from… yes indeed, Seattle last season. He is just of the disabled List, so he could be a bit rusty, which gives Seattle a real chanc here. Again we can get 23/20 for the win here, so TAKE IT

Colorado Rockies at San Diego Padres
This could very well turn into a snooze fest. Both teams have problems scoring runs and both pitchers are good in going 6 innings without giving up too many runs. The under/over is only 6,5 but still it seems worth taking on with the UNDER 6,5 at 5/6. This is hoping Pomeranz (Rockies) and Volquez (Padres) will be able to go 7 innings each. San Diego have a problem in the back end of the rotation and that means that you can trade out in the 7th or 8th inning. So if there are 3 or 4 runs or so in the top of the 7th inning go OVER on the runs and a nice profit should be nearly guaranteed.

NY Yankees at Kansas City Royals:
This game has got runs written all over. Phil Hughes is not a shadow of the star pitcher of 2010 and he has an incredible ERA this year of over 7. The same goes for Hochevar who goes for the Royals so OVER 9,5 at 20/21 is the play and with Hochevar also giving up nearly ALL his runs int he first inning, the FIRST scoring play of the game in the top of the 1st inning is a play. as there could be a ton of runs a small gamble on 18/5 for the Yankees -4,5 is a fun bet.

LA Dodgers at Chicago Cubs:
A dangerous game as Wood will pitch for the Cubs after the flu bug has hit the clubhouse. He has a miserable record so far in Triple A level, but he seems to be an ok pitcher. With Harang going for for the Dodgers this looks like a game with plenty of runs as Harang gives up a HR in ever 4 innings at Wrigley Field. Take a gamble on Harang to concede 4 or more runs before the start of the 7th inning at 29/20. this seems more value than the 10/11 for the Cubs to win this game, which they should as they have been good in their last 2 weeks of play.

Toronto BlueJays at La Angels:
again a tough line up, but with Williams trying to to the same as he did on tuesday (throw a shutout) for the Angels it seems they might easily win this game going up against a rookie who has never gone very deep and has given plenty of runs. This Hutchinson has a chance of becoming a good pitcher in time, but this might not be his year yet. LA angels -1,5 at 7/5 is good enough for us.


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